Not to the Jameson The Glue Holding This 2020 Shitshow Together Shirt mention. That Hillary’s actual polls put her 2-3% ahead. Donald’s victory was within the margin of error. It was just the media trying to announce she won before she did. It’s mostly reporting on the percentage of chance-to-win models that led people to believe that polls were wrong. Hillary was reported to have a 70% chance to win in the eve of the election, which many people took to mean the polls are saying that it’s basically a guaranteed victory. Even without examining the quality and reliability of models used, a 70% chance to win still means Trump wins nearly 1 in 3 elections.
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You’ve got a Jameson The Glue Holding This 2020 Shitshow Together Shirt. 5% chance of critically failing on your attack roll and I guara tee it’s going to happen on that last-ditch effort to take out the before he pimp slaps you into the void. That is because Nate Silver is an actual honest statistician. He was absolutely right about Trump’s chances to win just like how he was right that Sanders had very little chances of winning. He is looking at the math and only the math and doing his very best to make it right. That Professor (Sam Wang) was so confident that he promised to eat a bug if he was wrong. He followed through.
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